Future SA Blow-Up?
A few days ago, Reuters published the findings of a report by UK-based Toscafund, which foreshadows future conflict in South Africa likened to that seen in the Middle East and North Africa over the past few months.
Chief economist and partner at the hedge fund – and according to the article, “known for being outspoken in his predictions” – Savvas Savouri cites issues including emigration and “a lack of centralised leadership” as key drivers of potential future instability. Savouri commented,
“It’s socially, politically and demographically flawed. It will malfunction within 15 years. It will go the way of MENA (the Middle East and North Africa) but the blow-up will be much more serious.”
As someone newly exposed to the science – and art – of scenario planning, I personally would foresee different circumstances on South Africa’s horizon! (have a look at the Dinokeng Scenarios, for example…)
Readers, your thoughts?